Yeah yeah, Spain has finally been able this September to sell some bonds on the international markets. If you look also at the announcement that Spain might freeze pensions increase and increase the retiring age, there is some room for optimism. On top of these, Spain has announced that they might even reach a deal next week with the European bailout fund (despite denials from the German Finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble. But will these news be enough to save Spain from default?Read More »Eurozone Crisis – Spain Successful at Selling Bonds, But For How Long
I am sure this is a question that haunts most of the today’s traders. And of course if you would know the answer, we would not know on which island you would live :).
A simple graph (at the beginning of this blog) is showing that the EUR/USD pair has ramped up from 1.3552 to 1.4825 (as of today May 4). This is a historically large level, as the EUR/USD has rarely jumped above 1.5 (and this only in the great crisis). So why is the dollar so weak nowadays versus the Euro?
There are several reasons for that I guess:
1. Large USD deficit
I was recently reading an article in The Economist showing that by the same method of calculation, the US budget deficit is larger (as a % of GDP and at 11% or so) tha the one of Portugal. A large deficit also means problems for the dollar, since the US government has to finance this somehow and devalue the currency. Thus the consequence.Read More »Adventures of a Trader in the Forex Land (8) – Where Is the Dollar Going?