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The Adventures of a Trader in the Forex Land (5) – More Japan – UK Correlations

twister-sister-gbp-jpy-minutes-graph-april-22-2010 Or (if you want) miss-correlations. As all of your guru traders will say, in the forex trading you learn for your lifetime. And when you think you saw them all, something   comes and takes away all your confidence (and hopefully not your profits, especially when you have the risk management tools in place).

What happened? I decided to test today on the MetaTrader 4 (MT4) platform the buy stop and the buy limit orders on the “twister sister” or the GBP/JPY pair. And the results were quite interesting.

So what happened? I placed from the previous day a buy limit order on the GBP/JPY, on the assumption that the yen currency will devaluate a bit whilst the pound will be stable. This was based on the relatively mild-to-bad incoming economic news: the trade balance of Japan was on the larger side of the forecasts, whilst the GBP news (public sector borrowing, retail sales and preliminary mortgage approvals, to name just a few) should have been better. And so they were.Read More »The Adventures of a Trader in the Forex Land (5) – More Japan – UK Correlations

Book Review – “Currency Trading For Dummies” by Brian Dolan and Mark Galant

A simple search on this title over any search engine will show you the true power of the concept – there are 118,000 results only on Google. I don’t know if this because of the “Dummies” franchise or because of the number of traders willing to learn the ropes of the field. Certainly there is an incredibly high demand for this title and the reasons are simple – the demand for online currency trading is surging.Read More »Book Review – “Currency Trading For Dummies” by Brian Dolan and Mark Galant

Dubai Default Will Depress the Oil Prices

The recent news that Dubai suspended the repayment of its $59 billion debt sent shockwaves through the markets. Some shockwaves were expected, others came completely out of the blue.
In the first category there are the news of the spreads widening. In the second enter the appreciation of the yen, completely unexpected. Nobody was thinking that the panic will make the yen become what it was once – a safe haven for the investors. Yet, the yen continues to trade higher and higher.
The main resource of Dubai was the oil. And the government from Dubai has to repay somehow their debts. Even in the case of default, they must repay at least partially those bonds. It means that the Dubai sovereign funds and the Dubai asset owners must pump more oil to sell on the global market. Read More »Dubai Default Will Depress the Oil Prices